Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.004325 0.004862 0.005469 0.006211 0.007103 0.008153 0.009497
2026-02-08 0.003462 0.004107 0.004895 0.005948 0.007352 0.009207 0.011931
2026-02-15 0.003091 0.003806 0.004731 0.006052 0.007958 0.010731 0.015329
2026-02-22 0.002757 0.003485 0.004464 0.005933 0.008186 0.011724 0.018229
2026-03-01 0.002482 0.003200 0.004198 0.005753 0.008259 0.012460 0.020929
2026-03-08 0.002275 0.002985 0.003998 0.005629 0.008380 0.013280 0.024095
2026-03-15 0.002174 0.002907 0.003982 0.005781 0.008978 0.015098 0.030233
2026-03-22 0.002102 0.002861 0.004007 0.005998 0.009727 0.017431 0.039075
2026-03-29 0.002047 0.002834 0.004056 0.006258 0.010607 0.020344 0.051953
2026-04-05 0.001934 0.002707 0.003929 0.006188 0.010811 0.021767 0.061439
2026-04-12 0.001834 0.002593 0.003813 0.006118 0.011002 0.023229 0.072757
2026-04-19 0.001723 0.002454 0.003643 0.005927 0.010892 0.023855 0.081337
2026-04-26 0.001602 0.002298 0.003441 0.005672 0.010641 0.024153 0.089855
2026-05-03 0.001496 0.002159 0.003260 0.005442 0.010418 0.024509 0.099945
2026-05-10 0.001449 0.002114 0.003241 0.005534 0.010987 0.027645 0.135780
2026-05-17 0.001377 0.002025 0.003133 0.005429 0.011043 0.029096 0.164316
2026-05-24 0.001305 0.001929 0.003007 0.005270 0.010928 0.029892 0.190714
2026-05-31 0.001245 0.001851 0.002908 0.005160 0.010926 0.031165 0.230072
2026-06-07 0.001221 0.001834 0.002921 0.005295 0.011638 0.035864 0.358549
2026-06-14 0.001206 0.001830 0.002957 0.005487 0.012573 0.042434 0.650922
2026-06-21 0.001194 0.001832 0.003006 0.005716 0.013700 0.051295 1.478025
2026-06-28 0.001152 0.001777 0.002937 0.005653 0.013865 0.054877 2.439482
2026-07-05 0.001113 0.001725 0.002871 0.005592 0.014023 0.058679 4.484864